Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Tigres UANL vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 3
TIG
30%
25%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
TIG
0 - 0
ALI
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
AME
1 - 1
TIG
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 0
DOR
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
PUM
0 - 2
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
4 - 2
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 1
MOR
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |