Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul analysis

Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
83 ELO 78
-6.8% Tilt -12.4%
269º General ELO ranking 267º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.4%
Tigres UANL
24.3%
Draw
20.3%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Tigres UANL
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tigres UANL
-1%
+11%
Cruz Azul

Points and table prediction

Tigres UANL
Their league position
Cruz Azul
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
17
14º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas Guadalajara
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
47%
25%
27%
83 82 1 0
05 Oct. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
43%
26%
32%
84 83 1 -1
01 Oct. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 3
Tigres UANL
TIG
27%
27%
46%
84 71 13 0
28 Sep. 2023
LAN
Los Angeles FC
0 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
61%
21%
18%
84 86 2 0
24 Sep. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 0
Monterrey
MON
45%
26%
29%
83 83 0 +1

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2023
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 4
Pumas UNAM
PUM
46%
26%
29%
79 78 1 0
05 Oct. 2023
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
30%
27%
43%
79 72 7 0
30 Sep. 2023
AUR
Atl. San Luis
1 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
78 76 2 +1
25 Sep. 2023
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 3
Querétaro
QRO
54%
25%
21%
79 72 7 -1
16 Sep. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
30%
27%
43%
79 71 8 0