Tigres do Brasil vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres do Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
TIG
4 - 0
OLA
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 1
TIG
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 1
BAN
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
OLA
0 - 1
TIG
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VAS
0 - 2
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
COT
0 - 2
VAS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |