Tigres de Álica vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+515%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
8º
4
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
1% | 4.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
42% | 85.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
TDA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
1 - 0
MFC
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | +4 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LCU
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |