Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
6º
31
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 2
HAN
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEI
3 - 2
TIT
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 1
QYI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
4 - 3
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
WFC
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WFC
4 - 1
SJF
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 1
CBC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
WFC
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |