Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
6º
28
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
TIT
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 0
HEN
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
TIT
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 0
WFC
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 2
HAN
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 2
SHI
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 1
MEI
39%
25%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 2
SHI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SHI
3 - 1
SHA
8%
17%
75%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |