Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 0
SJF
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
TIT
17%
19%
64%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SHU
2 - 2
CHA
4%
10%
86%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |