Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
6º
27
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 45 |
5º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 31 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 0
SJF
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
TIT
17%
19%
64%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 3
SHA
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QIN
3 - 1
TIT
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SHU
2 - 2
CHA
4%
10%
86%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
HEN
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |