Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
6º
49
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
2 - 1
TIT
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
TIT
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 0
MEI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 3
TIT
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 3
CBC
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
BEI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BEI
4 - 1
QYI
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
BEI
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
SJF
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 2
SHA
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |