Thurrock vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
THU
0 - 4
DOV
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
THU
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
3 - 2
THU
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
EBB
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 1
THU
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 1
WES
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WES
0 - 4
DAR
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WES
2 - 1
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WOK
4 - 3
WES
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WES
2 - 1
STA
47%
24%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |