Thurrock vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 4
EAS
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAV
3 - 0
THU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
TON
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
STA
2 - 3
THU
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 4
WEL
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
WHI
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 3
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 2
WHI
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 2
MAI
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 1
DOR
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |