Thurrock vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
THU
3 - 6
BRO
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
THU
0 - 2
HAM
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
BIS
0 - 0
THU
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BAT
0 - 0
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
STA
0 - 1
WOK
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 0
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
STA
57%
24%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
3 - 0
STA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |