Thurrock vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
THU
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
CHM
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHM
1 - 0
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WOK
17%
24%
60%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 2
THU
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SHE
3 - 1
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 1
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 3
SAL
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
MAI
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 3
SAL
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |