Thurrock vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
THU
1 - 0
EAS
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
THU
0 - 1
CAM
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
STA
1 - 3
THU
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
WEY
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
THU
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
GUL
2 - 0
OLD
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
OLD
3 - 2
STA
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
STO
1 - 2
OLD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 2
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
OLD
0 - 0
BRI
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |