Thurrock vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
ENF
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
1 - 0
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
THU
1 - 2
LOW
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
THU
0 - 1
CAN
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
THU
1 - 2
BOG
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
HEN
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MET
0 - 2
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MET
3 - 2
BOG
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 2
THU
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |