Thurrock vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
THU
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
CHM
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHM
1 - 0
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
2 - 1
MAI
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 4
DAR
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HAV
0 - 0
EAS
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TON
1 - 2
HAV
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 1
WES
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |