Thurrock vs Harlow Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
DOR
2 - 0
THU
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BIL
1 - 0
THU
83%
11%
5%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
THU
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TOO
4 - 1
THU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
WIN
40%
24%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 3
HEN
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 2
ENF
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
LOW
0 - 3
HAR
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
STA
4 - 1
HAR
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 2
FOL
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |