Thurrock vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
EBB
2 - 2
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
THU
2 - 1
WEL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
DAR
0 - 1
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
THU
2 - 7
DOV
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
EAS
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 4
EAS
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 3
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
LEW
1 - 4
EAS
19%
23%
59%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |