Thurrock vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAV
3 - 0
THU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
TON
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
STA
2 - 3
THU
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 4
WEL
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
THU
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 2
BOR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WOK
3 - 1
EAS
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 1
HAV
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 3
CHM
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |