Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
THU
4 - 0
STG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 5
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
THU
1 - 3
GCZ
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GCZ
2 - 0
ZUR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |