Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
DYN
3 - 0
THU
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
SIO
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GNK
2 - 1
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GCZ
3 - 1
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
5 - 1
ZUR
30%
24%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
YOB
0 - 1
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |