Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 2
YOB
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
GCZ
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 5
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
YOB
1 - 0
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |