Thun vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
66
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 3
THU
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
THU
2 - 2
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
YVE
2 - 2
FCV
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
YVE
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
YVE
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
BUL
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |