Thun vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
THU
0 - 1
ARS
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 3
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GCZ
2 - 0
THU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 4
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
THU
1 - 6
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
YVE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
YVE
84%
11%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
NEX
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 2
YVE
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |