Thun vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
KRI
0 - 2
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
WOH
0 - 1
THU
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
KRI
2 - 1
THU
39%
23%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THU
4 - 0
FCG
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
WIN
4 - 3
FCV
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SER
2 - 1
WIN
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
WOH
4 - 4
WIN
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
24%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 4
THU
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |