Thun vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
KRI
2 - 1
THU
39%
23%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THU
4 - 0
FCG
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 4
THU
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 1
WIL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
STA
0 - 0
WIL
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 0
LEM
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
FCV
3 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |