Thun vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 0
THU
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
THU
2 - 2
GCZ
21%
21%
58%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CSC
0 - 1
THU
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
THU
1 - 0
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCL
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SER
1 - 1
WIL
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BUO
0 - 1
WIL
7%
15%
78%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
11 - 3
STG
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 3
WIL
52%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |