Thun vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
1º
1º
7
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 40 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 25 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 25 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
10º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SCS
0 - 6
THU
2%
6%
92%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
26%
24%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 6
STA
4%
9%
87%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 3
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
SCH
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
BEL
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |