Thun vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
THU
3 - 2
WIL
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 0
THU
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
THU
2 - 2
GCZ
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
THU
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
YOB
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FCV
3 - 1
STG
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 0
STG
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
47%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BUO
0 - 5
STG
6%
14%
80%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 2
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |