Thun vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
THU
0 - 1
GCZ
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
THU
2 - 1
SCH
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
STG
0 - 2
GCZ
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
GCZ
2 - 1
STG
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
STG
1 - 3
YOB
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
YVE
2 - 1
STG
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |