Thun vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
5º
2º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
THU
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
THU
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 2
THU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 0
STA
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 3
SIO
10%
19%
72%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCV
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
STA
0 - 4
SIO
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |