Thun vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SBC
0 - 2
THU
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 26 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 1
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 2
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
THU
2 - 3
SPA
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
17%
21%
63%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ECH
0 - 6
SER
6%
12%
82%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
SIO
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
YOB
1 - 1
SER
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |