Thun vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
THU
1 - 2
LEM
73%
16%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
32%
24%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 1
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
THU
4 - 2
KRI
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
0 - 0
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SER
1 - 2
KRI
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 3
SER
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SER
2 - 3
LOC
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |