Thun vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
LOC
4 - 1
THU
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
THU
2 - 2
BIE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
YVE
5 - 1
THU
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 1
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SER
3 - 2
LAC
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SER
0 - 0
WOH
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOC
1 - 1
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 4
STG
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |