Thun vs Schaffhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
5º
2º
38
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
THU
36%
25%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
STA
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 0
FCV
23%
23%
55%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |