Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
YVE
2 - 2
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 0
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
THU
2 - 4
WIN
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
THU
3 - 4
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
NEX
2 - 1
KRI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
YVE
0 - 0
NEX
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NEX
2 - 1
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |