Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GCZ
2 - 0
THU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 4
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
THU
1 - 6
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
STG
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NEX
3 - 5
ZUR
26%
25%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
NEX
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 0
SCH
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
YOB
3 - 2
NEX
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |