Thun vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
YOB
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
THU
0 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 2
THU
23%
27%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
RAP
2 - 1
THU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GNK
0 - 2
LOK
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
KVM
1 - 2
GNK
19%
22%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GNK
3 - 0
LEU
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
GNK
3 - 1
DYN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
OOS
4 - 0
GNK
18%
23%
60%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |