Thun vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
1º
32
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 72 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 63 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 57 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 31 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
80.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
26%
24%
49%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
SOC
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
THU
0 - 1
YVE
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
THU
0 - 0
ZUR
28%
24%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
THU
10 - 0
BAD
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STP
3 - 1
FCV
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 1
STG
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 4
FCV
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SWB
2 - 3
FCV
17%
19%
65%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |