Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Thun vs Chikhura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZUR
3 - 2
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 2
YOB
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 1
THU
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
THU
3 - 0
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chikhura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
CHI
22%
24%
55%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
FCV
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
DTB
3 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GOR
4 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 4
DTB
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |