Thun vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 0
THU
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SIO
2 - 0
THU
55%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUR
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 1
SIO
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 1
YOB
10%
18%
73%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
YOB
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
YOB
4 - 1
LAU
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |