Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
YOB
1 - 2
THU
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 4
THU
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOT
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
TOT
2 - 2
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |