Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
STG
3 - 0
THU
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
THU
2 - 2
SIO
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |