Thun vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
FRI
0 - 3
THU
11%
20%
69%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
THU
1 - 0
WIN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAD
2 - 1
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 1
THU
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
THU
0 - 3
SIO
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAD
2 - 1
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BAD
2 - 1
KRI
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
STA
1 - 2
BAD
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |