Thun II vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 4
THU
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
THU
3 - 0
MUN
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +4 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WAN
3 - 1
THU
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
THU
0 - 3
YOU
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THU
5 - 1
FCM
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZUG
0 - 0
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 0
ZUG
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BER
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEL
3 - 1
ZUG
45%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZUG
1 - 0
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |