Thun II vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
49.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 3
ETO
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 2
THU
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
VEV
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
6 - 1
THU
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
BUL
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CSC
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 1
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
ECH
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 3
MAR
24%
20%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |