Thun II vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 0
THU
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LUZ
7 - 3
THU
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
WAN
2 - 0
THU
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FCG
4 - 0
ZOF
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCG
1 - 0
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 3
FCG
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
FCG
1 - 3
NEX
13%
21%
67%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUZ
2 - 2
FCG
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |