Thun II vs Echallens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
THU
3 - 1
FRI
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 3
ETO
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 2
THU
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ECH
1 - 4
MEY
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 1
ECH
33%
23%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 2
NAT
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
2 - 7
BAS
6%
13%
82%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
ECH
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |