Thun II vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
THU
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
WOH
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 6
THU
39%
22%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
FCK
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
DUR
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
DUR
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 3
OLT
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
DUR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 1
LAN
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |