Thun II vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
THU
5 - 2
DUL
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 4
THU
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
MOU
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WOH
1 - 2
THU
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
THU
2 - 0
LEN
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
BAS
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
LER
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLT
2 - 4
BAS
44%
22%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCH
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
6 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |